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Handicapping Georgia football bowl game options heading into key November stretch

Handicapping Georgia football bowl game options heading into key November stretch

Handicapping Georgia football bowl game options heading into key November stretch

Handicapping Georgia football bowl game options heading into key November stretch

Welcome to Good Day, UGA , your one-stop shop for Georgia footballnews and takes. Check us out every weekday morning for everything you need to know about Georgia football, recruiting, basketball and more.

Georgia football bowl projections heading into the home stretch

Georgia football will be playing in a bowl game this year. Even if the Bulldogs somehow lose their final three regular-season games, Georgia will still finish 8-4. Of course, the Bulldogs will be aiming to finish much higher than that. Should the Bulldogs win one of their final two SEC games, Georgia will play in the SEC championship game.

And as Tuesday's College Football Playoff rankings told us, Georgia is very much still in the playoff discussion. To stay in the top four Georgia must win out, which would include wins over No. 12 Auburn and No. 1 LSU. But those options are still on the table, however unlikely that might be.

So with only a handful of options still on the table, let's look at where Georgia may end up playing in December (or January).

The 2019 Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl: Dec. 28 4 p.m. or 8 p.m. in Atlanta

How Georgia gets there: Beats Auburn, Texas A&M, Georgia and LSU. Have Ohio State lose a game but still win the Big Ten. Hope the committee values Georgia's wins over Clemson's potential unbeaten record.

Why it might happen:This is the dream scenario. This is one of the two College Football Playoff games and it will be played in Atlanta. Georgia would need a lot of chaos to move up to the No. 1 spot, but college football is a sport built on chaos. Ohio State has losable games against Michigan and Penn State. Clemson struggled with North Carolina earlier this year and plays a 7-2 Wake Forest team this weekend. To quote Kevin Garnett, " ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE."

Why it might not:Even if this is supposed to be a neutral site game as well as the site of the SEC championship game it won't be if Georgia is playing in it. And I highly doubt the College Football Playoff committee is going to want to reward an unbeaten Ohio State or Clemson by matching them up against a one-loss SEC champ Georgia in the Bulldogs' backyard. Seeing as how Atlanta is much closer to Clemson, S.C., and Columbus, Ohio, that would likely be the first choice for either of the schools.

And as illustrated in the "how Georgia gets there" section, the Bulldogs would need to win out and have quite a bit of chaos happen.

Chances of playing in this game:5 percent

Related: If Georgia football wants to win beat Auburn, it starts with blocking Derrick Brown

The 2019 Playstation Fiesta Bowl: Dec. 28, 4 p.m. or 8 p.m. in Glendale, Az.,

How Georgia gets there:Beats Auburn, Texas A&M, Georgia and LSU.

Why it might happen: This is the other College Football Playoff game. If Georgia wins out, it seems clear the committee is going to put them in the College Football Playoff. And given that Georgia would have a head-to-head win over LSU, the committee probably puts the Bulldogs ahead of the Tigers and makes them the No. 3 team. The most likely scenario here would be Georgia playing an unbeaten Clemson, assuming the Tigers and the Buckeyes also win out.

Why it might not happen: Did you see what LSU did this past weekend? To quote Marcus Spears, "They went into Bryant-Denny and put 46 points on the board." And even before that Georgia has to get past a tough Auburn team. Kirby Smart's record against SEC West teams on the road is not what you want going into this game. But Georgia has beaten the likes of Florida and Notre Dame already, making this the more likely of the two College Football Playoff scenarios.

Chances of playing in this game:20 percent

*Of note here: ESPN's Playoff predictor gives Georgia a 25 percent chance of making the College Football Playoff

The 2020 Allstate Sugar Bowl: Jan. 1, 8:45 p.m. in New Orleans

How Georgia gets there: Georgia is the highest-ranked SEC team not to make the College Football Playoff.

Why it might happen: Georgia would have to get to the SEC championship game with an 11-1 record to LSU and then lose that game. But that's only half the battle. To get to New Orleans, Georgia would need the College Football Playoff committee to decide that Alabama is one of the four best teams in the country. That would mean it likely needs a two-lose PAC 12 champion as well as possibly a two-loss Big 12 champion.

There's also the chance that Georgia loses to Auburn, beats Texas A&M and then beats LSU in the SEC championship game to finish. That gets very murky though, and it's not a guarantee that Georgia would be ranked above the Crimson Tide.

There's also a scenario where Auburn beats Alabama and Georiga 10-2 Auburn team would be a very compelling Sugar Bowl pick.

Why it might not happen: It would need a whole lot of chaos, as outlined above. There's no way a two-loss Georgia team that fails to win the SEC championship is ranked above a one-loss Alabama team.

Chances of playing in this game:2 percent

The 2019 Capital One Orange Bowl: Dec. 30, 8 p.m., Miami Gardens, Fla.

How Georgia gets there: Georgia beats Auburn, Texas A&M, Georgia Tech but loses to LSU. Georgia would also finish behind an Alabama team that does not make the College Football Playoff.

Why it might happen: This is by far the most likely scenario in play. Just going by likely Vegas odds, this is how many will likely predict the Georgia season to finish. Assuming LSU, Clemson and Ohio State win out, a big assumption to be sure, and Oregon and Utah meet in the Pac-12 title game with one-loss each, those are your most likely four playoff teams. Georgia would likely get picked for this game, given the Bulldogs haven't played in the game since 1960 and there might be some interest to attend the bowl game in South Florida.

Why this might not happen: Beating Texas A&M and Auburn is no easy task. There is also the chance that the Orange Bowl could choose a two-loss Michigan to play in the game if the Wolverines are able to beat the Buckeyes at the end of the season.

Chances of playing in this game:70 percent

The Georgia football misses the SEC championship game scenario

How Georgia gets there: The Bulldogs lose to Auburn and Texas A&M. Florida beats Missouri, thus putting the Gators into the SEC championship game. The Bulldogs very likely drop out of the top-10 and likely find themselves trending towards say the Citrus Bowl in Orlando, Fla. That game would be played on Jan. 1 and would pit Georgia up against a Big Ten or ACC team.

Why it might happen: Auburn and Texas A&M are good teams! Anything can happen, as evidenced by Georgia's loss to South Carolina earlier this season.

Why it might not happen: Georgia is also a good team, and will likely be favored in both games.

Chances of this happening: Let's say 3 percent to get to an even 100.

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  • Pac-12 Network play-by-play announcer Ted Robinson joked Saturday night during the Georgia-Arizona State men's basketball broadcast that every NBA scout west of the Mississippi was in Tempe, AZ to see Bulldogs freshman phenom Anthony Edwards. While Edwards played fairly well, Sun Devils junior guard Remy Martin shined the brightest, posting a game-high 23 points and six assists to lead Arizona State (8-2) to a, 79-59, victory against Georgia (6-3) at Desert Financial Arena on Saturday night. Martin, who scored 15 of his 23 points in the first half, hit three 3-pointers and posted three rebounds. Playingits first true road game of the season and in its first contest in 10 days because of final exams, Georgia was sloppy in its return to the court. The Bulldogs shot under nine percent from the 3-point line and committed 18 turnovers. The result was a season-low 59 points. With the long off period, a slow Georgia start in the first few minutes wouldn't have been at all surprising, but the Bulldogs didn't start as slowly as they finished. After an Edwards jumper with just a little more than seven minutes remaining in the first half, Georgia trailed only 21-20. But Arizona State ended the half on an 18-11 run, including an 11-5 spurt during the final four minutes. Georgia lost an opportunity to cut into a six-point deficit just before halftime. With 31 seconds remaining, coach Tom Crean called a timeout to draw up a play for the half's final possession, but after receiving the inbounds pass, freshman Sahvir Wheeler threw his pass out of bounds. The turnover, Georgia's 13th of the first half, proved to be a pivotal mistake, as the Sun Devils added another bucket at the buzzer, extending their lead to eight. The Arizona State lead ballooned to 12 by the first official timeout of the second half. The Sun Devils severely outplayed the Bulldogs in the final 20 minutes, and Georgia was not within single digits again after the 16:57 mark of the second half. In addition to 18 turnovers, the Bulldogs shot just 34.8 percent, which includes the team going 2 for 24 from the 3-point line. Georgia made one 3-pointer in each half. The Bulldogs didn't have an advantage on the glass as many expected Saturday night either. Georgia outrebounded Arizona by just one, 43-42. Furthermore, Georgia posted only 11 assists, which is tied for the team's second-fewest in a game this season. Arizona State also struggled from the 3-point line, going 6 of 25 (24 percent) and didn't do a great job of taking care of the ball (17 turnovers), but the Sun Devils shot much better inside the arc, posting a 49.3 shooting percentage overall against the Bulldogs defense. Edwards led Georgia's starters with 13 points. He also had four rebounds, two assists and two steals, but he was 0-for-5 from behind the arc. Sophomore Tye Fagan scored a team-high 15 points off the bench. Senior Tyree Crump hit both of Georgia's 3-pointers, but he was just 2-for-9 from behind the arc and missed his only 2-point attempt. Junior Rayshaun Hammonds, who had 19 points in Georgia's last game on Dec. 4 against NC Central, grabbed a team-high eight rebounds with three assists and three steals, but he was only 1 of 9 shooting and missed all four of his 3-point attempts. Hammonds finished with a season-low four points. Sun Devils junior forward Romello White, who is an Atlanta native, recorded his fourth straight double-double with 18 points and 17 rebounds. White was a major reason why Georgia didn't have an advantage on the glass. He created second-chance opportunities for the Arizona State offense as well with a game-high six offensive rebounds. The Bulldogs will return home to face another tough out-of-conference test in SMU this Friday, but in that matchup, SMU will be the team that's possibly rusty. The Mustangs last played on Dec. 7, losing at home to Georgetown, 91-74. That's SMU's only loss of the season, though, as the Mustangs have opened their slate 8-1. Georgia will play host to SMU next Saturday at Stegeman Coliseum at 7 p.m. ET. The post Georgia basketball sloppy in 79-59 loss at Arizona State appeared first on DawgNation.
  • Tate Ratledge was a major worry for Dawgnation in the wake of the Sam Pittman news to Arkansas. Pittman leaving the UGA staff meant a great deal here. It was why a family that grew up wearing Tennessee Vols gear saw the nation's No. 3 OT prospect wind up committing to the Georgia Bulldogs. Ratledge took to Twitter on Saturday afternoon to reaffirm his commitment to Bulldogs. Well, he sort of let the picture do the talking. Ratledge tweeted out a picture of him shaking hands with Herschel Walker from a visit to Georgia earlier this year. He also said that he was shut down and that he will sign on Wednesday during the early period. If one can't read between the lines there, then they need some 5-star help in the deductive reasoning department. The nation's No. 36 overall prospect for the 2020 cycle had to like what he heard in his meetings with Matt Luke on Wednesday. He followed up those good vibes with an unofficial visit to Athens on Saturday afternoon. 'The time I have spent with coach Luke I have developed a faster relationship than any coach I have been around,' Ratledge said. 'I watched them practice today and I liked his style of coaching and his enthusiasm.' That's some great early momentum for the Bulldogs as they are within a critical official visit weekend on the final recruiting window before the early signing period opens up on Dec. 18. Making sure that Ratledge was still a part of the 2020 class was a big deal. It doesn't merit one of those 'yes sir' videos anymore with Pittman in Arkansas. Yet somehow the feeling here is that a handshake with Herschel Walker will do just fine here. The post BREAKING: Georgia commit Tate Ratledge uses Herschel Walker pic to reaffirm commitment appeared first on DawgNation.
  • When Jordan Burch posted the Snapchat video of his Athens hotel room bright and early on Saturday, it was official. It was truly game on for the Georgia football official visitor weekend. Georgia's dance card of official visitors had brought in just about everyone it hoped it would. Or at least the players it absolutely had to have there this weekend. Burch, the nation's No. 2 overall prospect for 2020 on the 247Sports Composite, made another trip to Athens for his official visit. Burch has taken officials this season to both Alabama and LSU. He'd also been to Georgia for a junior day appearance, for G-Day, for the scavenger hunt weekend, the July cookout and an unofficial visit for the South Carolina game. The nation's No. 1 strong-side DE prospect (Hammond School/Columbia, SC) has been a mystery across the entire recruiting cycle. The 6-foot-5, 270-pound senior does no media. He plays in the same city as South Carolina. His quarterback at Hammond is the son of Gamecocks coach Will Muschamp. Jordan Burch has made it to Athens for his OV to UGA #CommitToTheG pic.twitter.com/Ejb4pFGALf DWooDy (@dwoody15) December 14, 2019 The Under Armour 2020 All-American plans to sign and make his decision known on Dec. 19. That event is not expected to take place at Hammond School, but in his hometown in Florence. Kirby Smart and select members of the Georgia staff made a trip to check out Burch this week. They saw him pour in 10 points on the basketball court. Burch's visit was big. But the official visit that got started late at night from 5-star CB Kelee Ringo was just as big. Ringo ranks as the nation's No. 1 CB for 2020 on that same composite. He has also been a frequent unofficial visitor to UGA this year, but not during the season. Ringo is a rare athlete. He has the ability to match up with any receiver of any size in the secondary. He has the size to battle down the field with the 6-foot-5 giraffes, but also the 4.35 laser speed in the 40 to smother even the shiftiest slot receivers. Those two visitors stand out, but so does the chance to recruit 4-star speed merchant Arian Smith over the weekend. He's also now set to sign during the early signing period. Smith has been clocked at 10.31 in the 100 meters and is one of the fastest high school athletes in the country. UGA rolling out the red carpet for Arian Smith #CommitToTheG pic.twitter.com/dcUojS5W1U DWooDy (@dwoody15) December 13, 2019 He's also rated as the nation's no. 14 WR and the No. 75 overall prospect for 2020. That would fill a big need for Georgia by adding more 'fear factor' to the receiver room. Smith is down to Alabama, Florida and Georgia. Dontae Manning is another priority official visitor in his own right . The nation's No. No. 6 cornerback and No. 76 overall prospect is a bona fide playmaker in all three phases of the game. He has also been a special teams standout for his Raytown High School (Kansas City, Mo.) team for the last few seasons. Manning is down to Arizona State, Georgia, Oregon, Oklahoma, Oregon and Texas A&M. The pure 247Sports rating has his mas the nation's No. 2 overall cornerback for 2020. RELATED: Keep up with all the official visits this weekend on the DawgNation forum Georgia football: Check out the notable officials This has been a nouveau official visit weekend for the Bulldogs. The number of official visitors will be the biggest recruiting weekend of the year at least according to that count. RELATED: Former Ole Miss commit Eric Reed Jr. previews his official visit Ringo started off his official visit at a shooting range. Smith and his guests wound up at an ax-throwing establishment in the Classic City. Reed had a dinner plate that looked like a lobster farm. This weekend was easily going beyond the normal cookie cake realm that has been an official visit UGA tradition. Combine that with the LED-heavy Sanford Stadium experience and the usual black SUV motorcades that whip those blue-chip recruits everywhere and it will be another painting the town red night for those potential Bulldogs in Athens. Scan the list of names below for an unofficial list of visitors that are in town or are stil; expected to be in town this weekend. DawgNation is still looking for at least 2-3 other surprise visitors from this weekend that we could see show up in Athens. Official visitors in town this weekend Jordan Burch/ 5-star DE/Hgt: 6-5/Wgt: 275 (Undecided) Hammond School/Columbia, SC Nation's No. 1 strong-side DE and No. 2 overall prospect Kelee Ringo/5-star CB/Hgt: 6-2/Wgt: 205/Undecided Saguaro High School/Scottsdale, AZ Nation's No. 1 CB and No. 8 overall prospect Related: DawgNation on Kelee Ringo Arian Smith/4-star WR/Hgt: 6-1/Wgt: 175/Undecided Lakeland High School/Lakeland, Fla. Nation's No. 14 WR and No. 72 overall prospect Dontae Manning/4-star CB/Hgt: 6-0/Wgt: 185/Undecided Raytown High School/Kansas City, Mo. Nation's No. 6 CB and No. 76 overall prospect Related: DawgNation on Dontae Manning Major Burns/4-star S/Hgt: 6-2/Wgt: 176/Undecided Madison Prep Academy/Baton Rouge, La. Nation's No. 12 S and No. 155 overall prospect Eric Reed Jr./4-star S/Hgt: 6-0/Wgt: 195/Undecided Calvary Baptist School/Shreveport, La. Nation's No. 16 S and No. 175 overall prospect Related: DawgNation on Eric Reed Jr. Aaryn Parks/4-star OG/Hgt: 6-4/Wgt: 320 (Oklahoma commit) National Christian Academy/Fort Washington, Md. Nation's No. 6 OG and No. 198 overall prospect Warren Brinson/4-star DT/Hgt:6-4.5/Wgt:295 (Georgia commit) IMG Academy /Bradenton, Fla. Nation's No. 26 DT and No. 254 overall prospect Devin Willock/3-star OT/Hgt: 6-6/Wgt: 345 (Undecided) Paramus Catholic/Paramus, NJ Nation's No. 67 OT and No. 892 overall prospect Unofficial visitors Tate Ratledge/4-star OT/Hgt: 6-6/Weight: 320/(Georgia commit) Darlington School/Rome, Ga. Nation's No. 3 OT and No. 36 overall prospect Nazir Stackhouse/4-star DT/Hgt: 6-3.5/Wgt: 306 (Georgia commit) Columbia High School/Decatur, Ga. Nation's No. 27 DT and No. 257 overall prospect The post Georgia football: A pair of 5-stars highlight a robust official visit weekend appeared first on DawgNation.
  • According to the Athens-Clarke County jail logs, Georgia running back James Cook was arrested on two misdemeanor charges on Saturday morning. Cook was arrested on one count of driving with an open container of alcoholic beverage in the passenger area and one count of having an invalid drivers license. Bond for each misdemeanor was $1,000. He was booked at 1:45 a.m. on Saturday and released on bond at 2:39 a.m. *More details will be added to this story The post Georgia football running back James Cook arrested appeared first on DawgNation.
  • Which playoff team should UGA cheer for to win the national championship? LSU: This is the easy choice. First, if LSU wins, Bulldog fans can say 'we got knocked out of a playoff spot by the team that won it all.' Secondly, LSU obviously is an SEC team, which will further validate the narrative that the SEC is the nation's biggest and baddest conference. Finally, other than this dirty play from the SEC Championship , what's not to like about LSU? Coach Ed Orgeron is jovial and smiles a lot, his voice sounds cartoon-like, and he's created an atmosphere where they players look like they're having a lot of fun rather than the ultra-serious and businesslike manners of other top programs. It seems like LSU would be the easy fan favorite for UGA fans. Ohio State: For UGA fans, supporting Ohio State would be a vote in favor of quarterback Justin Fields, who was wearing the Bulldogs uniform this time last year. There are two things some UGA fans will always wonder: (1) Why wasn't Fields ever given a fair chance to get significant playing time for the Bulldogs, particularly after the 2018 LSU loss? It's still confusing. Years from now, when all parties (i.e. former O.C. Jim Chaney, players) are far removed from the radioactive topic, the truth will come out on how it all really went down. (2) I'll always wonder what was Fields thinking by signing with UGA in the first place after a freshman quarterback had just led the Bulldogs to an appearance in the national championship. Flash forward to now: There was never any doubt about Fields' elite talent. Given the chance at Ohio State this year, he rapidly developed into one of the nation's top overall players, recently being named as one of the four Heisman finalists. It's understandable that some UGA fans may still be upset at Fields for leaving, but it also must be pointed out that three of four playoff teams have transfers as starting quarterbacks. It's part of the game, and the Bulldogs have also benefitted from transfers (ie, JR Reed, etc.). Fields just wanted to play, and he felt like it wasn't in the cards at UGA, so he moved on. It's as simple as that. One final note: Maybe I've missed it, but I haven't ever seen Fields say anything negatively publicly about the Bulldogs or his time there. Clemson: For some UGA fans, this is the 'new Alabama' or the team to hate, especially after Tigers coach Dabo Swinney threw the Bulldogs under the bus with his comments a couple of weeks ago. Oklahoma: There's really no reason for UGA to be for or against Oklahoma, other than the fact that the Sooners took the final spot in the playoffs over the Bulldogs. In other words, if the Bulldogs had won the SEC Championship (or had avoided the South Carolina upset), they would've been the team in there with Clemson, LSU and Ohio State. Which team do you support and (more importantly) why, please post it below in the comments? Who do you want to win it all? Oklahoma Ohio State LSU Clemson 1 vote 1 answer Vote The post Which team should UGA fans be rooting for to win it all? appeared first on DawgNation.